AI stock analysis · Gold · Last analyzed Jul 8, 2026
Compass Score
3.0/5
Call
Hold
Price
$22.96
AI Target
$38.23 +66.5%
AI Analyst Summary
Kinross Gold is delivering exceptional fundamental momentum, with 133.9% YoY EPS growth and 60.8% revenue growth, yet trades at a deeply discounted trailing P/E of 9.8x and a forward P/E of just 6.9x — a rare value-growth combination in the gold sector. A PEG of 1.12 and a strong Buy analyst consensus (16 of 18 analysts bullish) reinforce the view that the market has not yet priced in the earnings re-rating potential. The primary risk is gold price volatility, which could rapidly compress earnings and margins given KGC's operating leverage to the commodity.
Catalysts
Continued gold price strength above $2,000/oz driving outsized margin expansion given KGC's high operating leverage, potentially accelerating the forward P/E re-rating toward sector peers.
Upcoming quarterly earnings report that could confirm or extend the 133.9% YoY EPS growth trend, with 3 of 4 recent quarters already beating estimates, building further analyst conviction.
Potential production growth updates from key assets (e.g., Tasiast, Great Bear) that could catalyze upward revisions to consensus price targets currently averaging $38.23.
Fundamentals
PeTrailing P/E: 9.8x | Forward P/E: 6.9x · 5.0/5
Trailing P/E of 9.8x is materially below the gold mining sector median, and a forward P/E of 6.9x signals significant earnings expansion ahead — compelling valuation relative to growth.
PegPEG: 1.12 · 4.0/5
PEG of 1.12 is just above the 1.0 threshold but remains very attractive given 133.9% YoY earnings growth. Growth is more than justifying the current valuation multiple.
Analyst RatingBuy consensus (1.7) · 4.0/5
Analyst consensus of 1.7 on the inverted scale reflects a strong Buy tilt, with 16 Buy ratings versus 1 Hold and 1 Sell. Broad institutional conviction in the bull case.
YoY earnings growth of 133.9% is exceptional and well above the 25% threshold for a top score. Revenue growth of 60.8% confirms the top-line is driving — not just a margin or one-time — story.
Only 4 quarters of data available, limiting full scoring confidence. 3 of 4 beats is a positive signal but insufficient history to award above a neutral score per the scoring framework.
ManagementConstructive — consistent execution with strong analyst support · 4.0/5
3 of 4 EPS beats combined with 133.9% earnings growth and 16 Buy ratings from analysts suggests disciplined operational execution and effective capital allocation. Analyst confidence is high.
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