AI stock analysis · Aluminum · Last analyzed Aug 18, 2026
Compass Score
3.0/5
Call
Hold
Price
$29.92
AI Target
$37.92 +26.7%
AI Analyst Summary
Constellium SE presents a compelling deep-value growth case in the aluminum sector, with a trailing P/E of just 7.7x and a PEG of 0.40 against 316% YoY EPS growth — a rare combination that suggests meaningful market underappreciation. The company's operational leverage is evident in earnings growing nearly 10x faster than revenue, signaling strong margin expansion as aerospace, automotive, and packaging demand drives mix improvement. The primary risk remains cyclical aluminum price volatility, which could compress margins if commodity tailwinds reverse.
Catalysts
Continued aerospace aluminum recovery: as widebody aircraft production ramps (Boeing/Airbus build rates), Constellium's aerospace segment revenues — a high-margin contributor — should accelerate materially in H2.
Automotive lightweighting secular trend: growing EV platform adoption drives sustained demand for Constellium's rolled and extruded aluminum products, a multi-year volume tailwind with pricing power.
Potential earnings estimate revisions: with 4-of-4 recent EPS beats and 316% YoY growth, analyst consensus targets are likely conservative — upward revisions to forward EPS could catalyze a re-rating toward the $37.92 mean price target.
Fundamentals
PeTrailing P/E: 7.7x | Forward P/E: 12.4x · 5.0/5
Trailing P/E of 7.7x is materially below the Basic Materials sector median and highly attractive for a growth-generating industrial. Forward P/E of 12.4x remains compelling and well below sector peers.
PegPEG: 0.40 · 5.0/5
PEG of 0.40 signals significant undervaluation relative to earnings growth. Well below the 1.0 threshold, indicating the market has not yet fully priced in the company's durable growth trajectory.
4 Buy ratings and 1 Hold out of 5 analysts reflects strong bullish sentiment. Consensus is capped at score 3 per fewer-than-5-analyst rule, but with exactly 5 analysts and a clear 4/5 Buy skew, a score of 4 is warranted as a constructive setup.
316% YoY earnings growth is an exceptional positive signal, supported by 30.7% revenue growth. This scale of earnings acceleration is well above the 25% threshold and reflects meaningful operational leverage across Constellium's aluminum segments.
Beat rate of 4 of 4 quarters over available history is strong. Scored 4 (vs. 5) due to limited history of only 4 quarters rather than the full 8-quarter baseline, though the perfect recent record is a positive management signal.
ManagementConsistent executor with strong capital discipline · 4.0/5
Perfect EPS beat rate over the last 4 quarters, combined with 4 Buy analyst ratings and substantial margin expansion implied by the earnings-to-revenue growth differential, reflects above-average management execution. Limited history prevents a top score of 5.
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